Archive for the 'Politics' Category

Update - McCain VP leak

Yesterday I was worried that leaking McCain’s VP during Obama’s acceptance speech:

seems such an obvious dirty trick that even the average voter is going to see through it, quite possibly with resultant distaste for the Republican machine. Certainly, it gives the Dems plenty of opportunity to hammer home their current key line, that McCain represents the continuation of the “nasty” Bush-Rove era. Crashing other people’s press parties is the type of thing Washington politicians do, and McCain has been fighting hard to demonstrate that he’s just as much of an innocent outsider as Saint Obama.

So instead, this is much, much more classy. And it’s still a way to gatecrash the coverage, as Marc Ambinder points out in his twitter from the convention.

Breaking news - Obama’s big speech leaking like Clinton 1 on sight of a cheerleader….

So it’s  just over two hours to go until The One makes his case for the Presidency, and large extracts are beginning to spurt out all over the web.

The first thing one has to admit, is that it’s very very good. No matter how many speechwriters Obama employs, a speech this important in a career will always in its fundamentals be the personal expression of the orator - and it makes Obama look like a very smart guy indeed. (Incidentally, one of the many ghosts, a guy I know living in London, even emails the text of speeches in every week from the UK), The most uplifting for me is the line that seems to justify all the sentimentality of the Obama campaign:

“America, we are better than these last eight years. We are a better country than this.”

It’s a reminder that dissent in a time of war is not unpatriotic and an assurance that a political life built on aesthetics rather than policy is traditional in a country that has always been built on abstract ideas. It manages to remind one that America’s image abroad does matter, without being explicit enough to open the speaker up to the old accusations of being too focused on adulation abroad. At the same time, it’s a piece of political ingenuity because it puts at the heart of Obama’s own message an echo of his most damaging claim against McCain, the baseless but powerful fear that the older man could be a repeat of a President who now enjoys the worst approval ratings since Nixon.

Keep watching for commentary and updates.

Updates: Is this a counter strike against the rumors that McCain camp might just leak their VP pick in the middle of Obama’s primetime assault on US television?  The more clued up journalists are on Obama’s remarks in advance, the less willing they might be to drop a well-prepared analysis of a speech they’ve actually worked on for a confusing attempt to report a sudden surprise. Of course, a VP leak tonight would be a massive risk of humiliation for Team GOP - what if Obama is just so gripping that the networks keep streaming him without interruption, or find it easier (never forget that journalists are an inherently lazy species) to stick with their prepared analysis during the post-speech post-mortem? After all, today’s speech will always be on the anniversary of Martin Luther King’s death - cue the assembled TV experts talking of their own emotional memories and swearing to remember this day until death - whereas discussion of a VP pick loses no aesthetic resonance by waiting til tomorrow. And the VP leak seems such an obvious dirty trick that even the average voter is going to see through it, quite possibly with resultant distaste for the Republican machine. Certainly, it gives the Dems plenty of opportunity to hammer home their current key line, that McCain represents the continuation of the “nasty” Bush-Rove era. Crashing other people’s press parties is the type of thing Washington politicians do, and McCain has been fighting hard to demonstrate that he’s just as much of an innocent outsider as Saint Obama.

Update 2: note that in all the extracts leaked, there is not a single mention the MLK-related significance of the date. So either Obama really has decided to finally cultivate some humility by tuning down the historical associations, or he’s saving that for the big surprise. Also, there’s no reference to the progress that the American nation has made in producing an African-American politician of such stature - a true sign of a post-racial campaign, or an indicator that the Obama campaign wants to downplay any ‘otherness’ in a campaign where issues of race continue to swirl like dark water under a boat, threatening to pull down anyone who ventures to poke at them? Unless the secret grand finale turns out to be a re-enactment of the march on Washington. We’ll see in one hour…

DNC Liveblogging, Pt. 2

Dinner is made, the dogs are walked, and I am settled back in for another round of liveblogging. Part one is here. Will is picking up again over here.

More…

Liveblogging the DNC…again.

Will is liveblogging over there.

(Roll call starts here.)

This post is done; I’m making dinner, and when I come back I’ll have a new one. Ta!

More…

Whatever Russia Wants, Russia Gets - For Now

In the midst of all the vague hubbub about Russian-American relations going sour over Georgia, I hope somebody is noticing the fact that Russia has gotten exactly what it wanted. (Also, anyone with relativistic tendencies should look at this as yet another example of the way America behaves differently from other large powers, and no, Iraq is not analogous to Georgia.)

It seems to me that the conversation has gone something like this:

U.S.: Maybe it’s time to let Georgia into NATO.

“Russia conducted airstrikes on Georgian targets on Friday evening, escalating the conflict in a separatist area of Georgia that is shaping into a test of the power and military reach of an emboldened Kremlin. Earlier in the day, Russian troops and armored vehicles had rolled into South Ossetia, supporting the breakaway region in its bitter conflict with Georgia.”

(read:) Russia: NO.

“Despite fierce opposition from Moscow, the United States and Poland signed a long-stalled agreement on Wednesday to place an American missile defense base on Polish territory.”

(read:) U.S.: Well, okay Russia, but we haven’t forgotten the Cold War. If you’re going to start behaving like your old overbearing self, we’re going to defend the most valuable former Soviet satellite state. You can’t have it.

“Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice said Monday that the United States would not push for Georgia to be allowed into NATO at an emergency meeting on Tuesday, a tacit admission that America and its European allies lack the stomach for a military fight with Russia.”

(read:) U.S.: But…you can keep Georgia. Not officially, of course, but you know.

“Russia’s forces are digging in and seizing ribbons of Georgian land that abut two breakaway enclaves allied with Moscow, effectively extending its zone of influence.”

(read:) Russia: Excellent.

Ah, the joys of a multipolar world.

(All quotes from various New York Times articles.  Also, to be clear, I do know that the cause of this war is much more complex than I describe above - see comments for more discussion if curious.)

Without Trace

My depression for the day is supplied by the news that Susan Eisenhower is walking out on the Republican Party. Not because she’s a big deal in herself, but because she claims it is no longer effective for constitution-guarding individualist types to spend time

trying to reinvigorate a political organization that has already consumed nearly all of its moderate “seed corn.”

You’d have to be really believe a party is beyond salvation if you don’t feel it’s even worth your staying in and fighting for your vision of its future. We don’t all have to share in Eisenhower’s sense of hopelessness about the future of the Republican party, but most of us can agree that it’s going to need to conduct an intensive intellectual debate within itself if it’s to reestablish a cogent ideological foundation. lf classical liberals in the Eisenhower tradition want to be part of that reestablishment, they have to be part of the internal debate. It’s saddening to see someone with such privileged access to the Republican machine giving up on it. Particularly as there are plenty of us who’d gladly fight the same fight, but not being grandchildren of Presidents, need leaders within the party to represent us - and it feels like Eisenhower is walking out on us as well.

It seems like the Susan Eisenhower story has been buried by the long-awaited announcement that Biden will indeed be Obama’s running mate. Hat tip to Crooks and Liars for linking it to this timely reminder of how horrified the original Eisenhower would be today.

Consolation Prizes

Coates and Sullivan are both puffing this little paragraph from Dana Goldstein:

Sebelius, of course, would be the bold, unconventional choice — very Obama. But by choosing a female running mate, Obama would, unfortunately, thrust the Hillary die-hards and their ever-more marginal discontentment back into the spotlight. That said, anyone who believes that only Hillary Clinton deserves to be the first female president or vice president doesn’t deserve the designation “feminist.” So I’d relish watching the reactions to a Sebelius nod, not only because such a choice would double down on Obama’s most effective message — “change” — but because it would reveal exactly which Clinton boosters are ready to widen the lens and enthusiastically support women’s leadership as such.

Really? I’m surprised no one seems to be picking up that Obama appointing a female VP in these circumstances would mark a serious set-back for the feminist movement. It’s widely accepted that such an appointment would constitute an attempt by Obama to apologize to feminists for beating Hilary to the job that really matters. Goldstein herself draws her argument from the belief that it would “double down” on Obama’s message of change, i.e. remind everyone that he won’t let those nasty old white men keep all the jobs. So surely the great American public is quite capable of drawing the same inference - and then assuming en masse that Sebelius can dismissed as merely a token floozy.

While the VP’s job has long been little more than helping the candidate cover some demographic bases, it would be sad to see such a blatant confirmation of it. And the more superficial the VP job becomes, the less of a feminist triumph is it to see a woman in the post. Just as affirmative action inspires resentment, so parachuting a woman in to burnish Obama’s feminist credentials is only going to inspire the Rush Limbaughs of this world to claim that women are now doing down men. It might even give the naive cause to think that 2008 constituted a successful year for women in public life, instead of the year that exposed the endemic misogyny underlying media responses to strong women. So Goldstein is wrong to claim that feminists should be supporting “female leadership as such”. We want to see more women taken seriously on their own merits, not because they fulfill quotas. And we’d like to see it in jobs that actually count.

Mukasey Extends Jurisdiction over Court of Public Opinion

The Attorney General, of all people, endorses shame culture over, um, law:

As last month’s report from the inspector general acknowledged, the hiring abuses by former Justice Department officials represented a violation of federal Civil Service law, but not of criminal law, he said. “That does not mean, as some people have suggested, that those officials who were found by the joint reports to have committed misconduct have suffered no consequences,” Mr. Mukasey said. “Far from it. The officials most directly implicated in the misconduct left the department to the accompaniment of substantial negative publicity.” (Emphasis mine, of course.)

I’ve been trying to figure out the circumstances under which I would actually believe that the shame provided by “negative publicity” was so strong that it made legal prosecution irrelevant. I can’t come up with any, but I’m willing to leave the possibility open. But this was clearly not that.

For one thing, how “substantial” was this negative publicity anyway? Mukasey implies that it was enough to drum those “most directly implicated” (presumably Gonzales, Goodling, Sampson) out of the Department — though of course they resigned in the midst of other scandals, unrelated to the pervasive sins of hiring practices that have been uncovered in the last year or so. The report itself on such practices received a comparable amount of publicity to, say, John Edwards’ admission of his affair. (And if I were more of a partisan hack I’d point out that this time last decade, the shame of a dalliance exposed wasn’t considered nearly enough to satisfy the demands of justice.)

But the fundamental question if you’re going to equate negative publicity and criminal prosecution is what shame negative publicity can produce, and whether it can be sufficiently punishing to the wrongdoer as an individual. Just having one’s name incanted spitefully or mockingly a few times in the mouths of the Keith Olbermanns in this world is certainly “negative publicity” (to some, at least), but it’s not shame. Shame works because it forces private wrongdoing out into the open, claiming it as public property and revoking the shamebearer’s right to go about his business behind closed doors. Furthermore, it does so in such a way that it transforms public perception; reassimilation is impossible. You, a personality, become identified with your scandal.

This doesn’t seem to have happened here in the least. Goodling and Sampson, in particular, were private citizens with private lives before they were supporting players in a scandal — but instead of the scandal transforming their role in the public eye, they have returned to being private persons again. No cameras parked outside their houses; they were scrutinized only in past tense, in a report that cast them in jobs they’d already left.

True, Goodling doesn’t seem to have been rehired since her resignation — then again, it seems that she had already reached her Peter Principle point. Sampson, on the other hand, had already been rehired by a private firm before the report came out, his resume not so stained as to be illegible. And while rumors persist that Gonzales hasn’t been so lucky in hiring, he’s still making money via public speaking engagements — as good a sign as any that the damage done to his public figure wasn’t as significant as Mukasey makes out. After all, everybody knows that the scandal-tarred don’t go on speaking tours; they go on the vaudeville circuit instead.

Georgia On My Mind

I’ve only just got out of Georgia. I’m glad I went — the National Guard is too depleted to do much down there, and the guns I was running might make a difference for the militias — but I’m really thankful to be back. For a while I wasn’t sure I’d make it.

More…

Chairman Dave’s Little Black Book

Anyone who cares about social decay should be heartened to see Michael Gove, the British Conservative Shadow Secretary for Children, Schools and Families speak out against the endemic pornographication of the female body in “Lads Mags” and “men’s magazines”. David Cameron, the Conservative leader, has dropped in a fair few references to our culture of sexualisation in his time as well. Being a Tory, he hasn’t even made the mistake of advocating censorship, but rather throws around concepts of “commercial responsibility” and “social awareness”.

It’s a shame, then, that “commercial responsibility” hasn’t started a little closer to home. Samantha Cameron, David’s elegant wife, is Creative Director of Smythson of Bond Street, London’s most exclusive stationary shop. It’s not a haunt I usually inhabit, but my sister has expensive tastes, so I recently trotted along, as firmly instructed by a birthday wishlist, to rub shoulders with the Duchesses and design divas gasping over bijou party invitations and business cards. Imagine my shock, in such illustrious surroundings, on seeing a display stack of a very special kind of gentleman’s notebook. For a mere £40.00, you can treat the man of your choice to a little black telephone book divided into three sections: Redheads (A-Z), Brunettes (A-Z), Blondes (A-Z). The shop assistant tells me that it’s one of Smythson’s most popular sellers. Now, I’m all for allowing politician’s spouses to retain an apolitical role, with an independent life. Samantha Cameron has never tried to make herself a public figure. But I’m sure David would agree with me that it’s a sad world in which a man’s record in casual sexual encounters remains a mark of such admirable prowess that it’s worth keeping a record in a beautifully bound Smythson quality leather product.